A pair of Conference Championships matchups are scheduled to take place Sunday afternoon, with the winners punching their tickets to this year’s Super Bowl.
As reflected by the betting odds, no one team has emerged as the clear favorite to take home the Lombardi trophy, with all four contenders lined between +225 and +325. The pre-season favorite, the Buffalo Bills, was bounced from the race last weekend and concerns surrounding a high ankle sprain suffered by KC’s Patrick Mahomes have caused further confusion amongst bettors looking to isolate a squad that holds a distinct advantage over the other remaining teams.
Super Bowl LVII Odds Via BetOnline.AG
- Philadelphia Eagles +225
- Kansas City Chiefs +260
- Cincinnati Bengals +280
- San Francisco 49ers +325
Both point spreads are under 2.5 points, with sportsbooks hinting at a pair of tightly contested matchups. NFL odds favor the Eagles at -2.5 over the 49ers, with the Chiefs currently available at -1.5 over the Bengals after having been listed as dogs earlier in the week.
The Bengals at Chiefs matchup has been a tedious task for us to book,” shared Adam Burns of BetOnline. “We opened KC as the favorite only to have it quickly shift to Cincy. Now it’s gone back to Chiefs.”
“Still, we need the Chiefs big time, both in this game and futures markets as they are our best result for Super Bowl by a mile.”
This line movement has largely come as a response to Mahomes’ injury status. High ankle sprains usually take weeks to fully heal, but the Chiefs reported that Mahomes participated in team walkthroughs Wednesday and practiced.
The odds naturally responded.
“The other matchup has left me surprised, even shocked, as to how much money is pouring in on the Eagles at -2.5,” added Burns. “I could even see it closing at a Field Goal by kickoff. It looks like both the public and sharps agree that Purdy’s run is done.”
Philadelphia and San Francisco finished 1st and 2nd in the conference, but bettors are making it clear that they view the Eagles as the superior team. After opening at -1.5, early action has pushed it to -2.5, and as Burns stated, it could go even higher.
The home-field advantage could be a factor, as the Eagles have been outstanding at home this season, averaging wins by a +10.4 margin in their own stadium. The Eagles also boast one of the best offenses in the league when it comes to scoring early, ranking second in the league in the first half and first quarter in EPA per play (Chiefs rank 1st in both categories).
Lining up on the other side of the field, the 49ers hope to see the Brock Purdy fairytale continue. Again, as the line movement suggests, bettors are buying into the narrative as the stage might be too big for the back up to succeed in this situation.